I could not help but
notice the trend these past several weeks in print vehicles covering the
Internet and the "new economy." Forbes closed ASAP (a magazine that a
short while ago had been merged with "Best of the Web"). Upside finally
breathed its last breath, after having the death rattle for over a year.
Red Herring was purchased by its primary backer and fled across town to
avoid the big lease that many companies (including ours) have been stuck
with from the heyday. PC Magazine significantly reduces its pages
devoted specifically to the Internet.
For many, this is an "I told you so" moment. Those that did not
believe in the new economy somehow take pleasure in these changes.
Others reported the changes as proof that the Internet run up was over
and done with. All have missed the point.
The point is that the Internet and other Interactive media have
become mainstream. Go through an issue of any traditional business
publication. Yes, there are Internet articles that abound. But the
concept of using the Internet has transcended the how to articles and
the dedicated articles on Internet successes. It is imbedded in the
mainstream articles themselves. Blurbs about supply chain management
being one of a number of factors to increase a company's bottom line,
etc. Sure, there are some companies that still don't get it from an
advertising standpoint. But I would bet that somewhere in that company,
there is someone doing something with the Internet that has little to do
with their advertising, their website or maybe even their Webmaster.
This person might be in finance, purchasing or manufacturing. Check it
out. If you want to get a company involved in Interactive advertising
that is not currently a believer, this person may be your biggest
potential backer.
There are three sides to the magazine publishing business: edit,
advertising and circulation. The circulation of these publications was
to Internet centric companies (of which there are many fewer), VC's
(which still abound but with smaller head counts), Web marketing
specialists and what we called IBUMs (Internet Business Unit Managers).
There are just plain fewer of these people around today. In fact, many
companies have transitioned to the point where their Internet operations
are integrated with the line units that they belong in, rather than
being freestanding units. Not everyone can run his or her own online
store.
The advertising part of this business took the hardest hit. And let's
face it; advertising is what keeps magazines in business. Yet, as an
advertiser, why pay the premium to reach those interested in Internet in
business in 5-8 different magazines when I can reach them at a much
lower CPM in traditional business publications. Now that the edit is
embedded in other stories and the Internet has truly become ubiquitous
(a word we liked to use when it was not yet...), I can reach the people
I want so much more cheaply. Again, take a look at the current issue of
any of the major business pubs and you will see tons of ads that could
have run in The Internet Standard, Upside, or The Red Herring in it's
heyday, etc.
In fact, magazine advertising as a whole is holding up quite nicely,
with a 9.2% increase versus year ago in September. Granted, September
2001 is not a great month to compare to from a business standpoint,
still, any increase these days is nice when so many things are going
south. And, year to date shows a 1.5% overall increase in ad dollars,
even though pages are down. Sure, there will be more fatalities. The
Internet sector is not the only one to be hit. Just last week, Time
Inc's Mutual Funds magazine announced its last issue.
Also interesting is that two rather vital publications survive in
this category, each with it's own niche (I am not counting the Red
Herring as vital quite yet). The (now) venerable Wired survived the move
to Conde Nast quite nicely. While the art direction is not quite as far
out there as it was, it remains a stunning publication. And there is no
question that it is still far ahead of other publications in information
about how technology affects business, the social scene and all other
aspects of life today. Business 2.0 took a whole different tack. Time
Inc bought the name and folded their eCompany Now into it. They did a
strange agglomeration, keeping the Business 2.0 circulation, look, feel,
name and attitude, folding it in with the eCompany staff and
circulation. The combination worked and this publication continues to do
a fine job in the sector. As for the Red Herring, they may survive if
they can get past the inevitable lawsuit from the landlord they just
fled from. But they can be expected to pull back towards their roots of
young company evaluation rather than the larger canvas that they painted
on for a while.
Net, net, the demise of many new economy magazines is real but
represents an evolution rather than a contraction. Readers and
advertisers have moved on to the mainstream publications. The new
economy is taking over the old economy. If you don't think so, talk to
some of the strikers who were on the picket lines at Pacific Coast Ports
last week. They were striking to prevent the replacement of their
paperwork cadre through computerization. Sure, there were other issues,
but the inefficiency of the current system vs. ports like Singapore was
at the top of the list. And the effect of the Web and computers on the
labor market is a whole other story...